Will We Eventually Insist on Medicare for Everyone?
I highly recommend for your reading a slim 72 page volume written by Dr. Tim Johnson, ABC News Senior Medical Contributor, titled The Truth About Getting Sick in America: The Real Problems with Health Care and What We Can Do (Hyperion: 2010).
In addition to his impressive medical credentials, Dr. Johnson is an ordained Protestant Clergyman (I had the privilege of worshipping for 14 years in the Evangelical Covenant Church in West Peabody, MA where he has served as an associate pastor for many years). As a “follower of Jesus,” he draws on the Parables of the Good Samaritan (Luke 10) and the Final Judgment (Matthew 25) to argue that “it is impossible to be both a true follower of Jesus (or many other religious leaders and prophets) without also advocating basic health care for all” (p. 57).
But, in that light, the Affordable Care Act gets mixed reviews; “The good news is that the newly passed health care bill should eventually provide some kind of health insurance … to more than 30 million Americans now uninsured. The bad news is that the bill does not provide any assured way of controlling costs and guaranteeing quality” (p. 71).
Johnson does present some common sense proposals for control of medical costs. His most cogent proposal, in my estimation, is that the health care system needs to get away from an “ultimately disastrous financial incentive,” whereby “the more you do [as a doctor or hospital] the more you make” (p. 15). For example, he believes “we must pay all our doctors by salary … and a key component of that salary should be outcomes [not the number of procedures and tests that are ordered],” citing the fact that “some of our best health care facilities, such as the Mayo and Cleveland clinics, pay their doctors by salary in order to free them up from making decisions based on how much more money they could make” (pp. 18-19).
Dr. Johnson proposes some other cost-cutting measures, such as the creation of national information technology standards (p. 64). But in the end, Dr. Johnson is not optimistic as to the large-scale possibility of the cost-cutting measures that he proposes gaining much traction because “the political and economic pressures (for jobs and profits) from the medical-industrial complex will override truly significant cost control” (p. 71).
So, what to do? Johnson proposes that “there is no way to get costs and quality under control without a strong role for the federal government” (p. 31), by creating “a sensible partnership …[with] private industry” (p. xii). He cites the “congressional plan” that members of Congress participate in as example of such a partnership, since it “strikes a balance between choice and oversight” by means of an “insurance exchange” program (pp. 33-34). Johnson therefore applauds the “insurance exchange” aspect of the Affordable Care Act, scheduled to be established at the state level by 2014, since “health insurance companies will be competing for your business,” which “Conservatives” will like, and the Federal Government will “play a strong role in order to guarantee that all insurance companies play by the same rules and standards,” which “Liberals” will like. Johnson only bemoans the fact that these state exchanges are not scheduled to be operative until 2014; and he strongly urges “government planners to push up that starting date as much as possible” (p. 69).
But, after making what I take to be some excellent proposals, Johnson does not envision adequate implementation in the near future in light of the current political and economic climate. Hence he concludes his book with an extremely provocative “Big Prediction”: “No matter what legislation Congress develops this year or in the years to come, health care costs will continue to rise. Within five to ten years, health care costs will be so out of control that we – the public – will demand that the government bail us out. At that point, the easiest and quickest action will be to expand Medicare to cover everyone” (p. 60); a “public option as the only insurance choice for everyone” (p. 47).
I can’t imagine a more controversial prediction as to the future of health care in the United States. I welcome your comments.
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